Arnoldshain Seminar XV
“The EU and Latin America Facing Globalization”
September 4 – 6, 2017

 Paper sessions
04-SEP-1709:00-10:30Parallel Session A – INTERNATIONAL TRADE (D4 0.022)Suárez, Celestino, Universitat Jaume I. Castellón, and Bojan Shimbov and Maite Alguacil, “New European” countries exporting structure and economic growth.
   Artal-Tur, Andres, Technical University of Cartagena and University of Valencia , Geography and the trade-migration nexus: historical country ties, profile of migrants and social integration effects.
  Parallel Session B - EDUCATION, LABOR MARKETS (D4 0.039)Peluffo Geronazzo, Adriana, Universidad de la Republica Uruguay, Does Innovation affect the Demand for Skills?
   Elsas, Alexander, Goethe University Frankfurt, and Caro Wondrak, Consequences of digitalization for the labor markets.
 14:00-16:00Parallel Session A – INTERNATIONAL TRADE (D4 0.022)Mutascu, Mihai, LEO University of Orléans, A time-frequency analysis of globalization and environmental degradation in France.
   Fichet de Clairfontaine, Aurélien, Wirtschaftsuniversitaet Wien, Dynamics of the trade balance: In search of the J-curve with a structural gravity equation.
   Hirsch, Cornelius, WIFO-Austrian Institute for Economic Research, and Harald Oberhofer, Bilateral Trade Agreements and Distortions in Agricultural Markets
  Parallel Session B – DEVELOPMENT (D4 0.039)Nowak-Lehmann, Felicitas, University of Goettingen , and Nathalie Desplas, Does development aid stimulate investment (in recipient countries)?
   Jehle, Eugen, Effective Cooperation with the Countries of Latin America through Adequate Forms of Private Investment, Relevant Appropriate Training Schemes and Appropriate Fiscal Systems.
 16:30-18:00Parallel Session A - FISCAL POLICY (D4 0.022)Tondl, Gabriele, Wirtschaftsuniversitaet Wien, and Elizaveta Lukmanova, Macroeconomic imbalances and business cycle synchronization. Why common economic governance is imperative for the Eurozone.
   Molnar, Matthias, IHS Vienna, and Thomas Davoiney, Cross-country fiscal policy spillovers and capital-skill complementarity in currency unions.
  Parallel Session B – MIGRATION (D4 0.039)Abainza, Loresel, Unviersity Antwerpen, The Return to Migration: Investigating the Consequences of Return Migration in Andean Ecuador.
   Alamá-Sabater, Luisa, and Maite Alguacil Marí, Universitat Jaume I of Castellon, New patterns in the location choice of immigrants in Spain.
05-SEP-1709:00 - 10:30Parallel Session A - EXCHANGE RATES (D4 0.022)Zarzosa Valdivia, Fernando, Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, The role of Fundamentals on the Persistence of Real Exchange Rate Misalignments in Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Mexico and Venezuela.
   Biagetti, Marco, Agency for Territorial Cohesion, and Alberto Bagnai, Real Exchange Rate Misalignments and Productivity Growth
  Parallel Session B - EDUCATION, LABOR MARKETS (D4 0.039)De Santis, Mariana, Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, and Cecilia Gáname, Pedro Moncarz, Career path of graduates at The School of Economic Sciences of The National University of Cordoba: an approach through the quality of job. The case of graduates in 2016.
   Moncarz, Pedro, Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, and Mariana De Santis, Cecilia Gáname, Some determinants of the early transition from university to the labor market: the case of the graduates in economic sciences in Argentina.
 11:00-12:45Parallel Session A – INTERNATIONAL TRADE (D4 0.022)Siroen, Jean-Marc, PSL Université Paris Dauphine, and Jaime Rafael Ahcar, Deep Integration. The Heterogeneity of Trade Agreements and their Impact on Bilateral Trade.
   Florensa, Luis Marcelo, Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, and María Luisa Recalde, Interdependence of Preferential Trade Agreements in Latin America.
   Khorana, Sangeeta, University of Bournemouth, and Badri G. Narayanan, Mega-Regional Trade Agreements: Costly Distractions for Developing Countries?
  Parallel Session B - ECONOMIC GROWTH (D4 0.039)Rehme, Günther, TU Darmstadt, Investment Subsidies and Redistributive Capital Income Taxation in a Neoclassical Growth Model.
   Zarzosa Valdivia, Fernando, Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, and Simón Lisandro Ayala, Mapping the elasticity of economic growth to financial development: A 1980 – 2012 empirical analysis for 100 countries.
06-SEP-1708:45-10:30Parallel Session A – MIGRATION (D4 0.022)Cuadros, Ana, Universitat Jaume I of Castellon, and Joan Martín-Montaner, Jordi Paniagua, Migration and FDI: The Role of Job Heterogeneity.
   Martinez-Zarzoso, Inma, University of Goettingen, and Ana Leiva , The Chinese Diaspora and its Impact on China’s Bilateral Trade.
  Parallel Session B – INDUSTRIAL ORGANIZATION (D4 0.039)Garcia Pires, Armando Jose, Norwegian School of Economics, and Lars Ivar Oppedal Berge, Gender and Entrepreneurial Success: Evidence from a Field Experiment.
   Avramovich, Maria Cecilia, Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, The Welfare Implications of Cartel Network Design.
   Batsaikhan, Mongoljin, An Honest Day’s Pay: Entrepreneurs Out-cooperate Students in the Lab, More Cooperative Entrepreneurs Outcompete their Fellows in Business.
 11:00-12:45Parallel Session B - HUMAN RESSOURCES, POVERTY (D4 0.039)Moncarz, Pedro, Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, Rising commodity prices and poverty in Brazil: a short-run analysis using a SAM price model.
   Mahoozi, Hosnieh, Justus-Liebig University Giessen, Growth elasticity of monetary and non- monetary poverty: an application to Iran.
 14:00-16:00Parallel Session A – INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND EXCHANGE RATES (D4 0.022)Nunez-Rocha, Thais, University of Orleans, and Camelia Turcu, Are we regulating the cause or the consequence? Trade in natural resources.
   Caram, Santiago, University of CEMA, Welfare loss of exchange rate controls: The case of Argentina.
  Parallel Session B - FISCAL AND MONETARY POLICY (D4 0.039)Rezk, Ernesto, FCE-Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, Maria Victoria Catalano, On the debate over the performance of fiscal shocks and government spending multipliers' size: The experience of selected LA emerging and developing countries.
   Bucacos, Elizabeth, Banco Central Uruguay, Financial conditions and monetary policy in Uruguay: an MS-VAR approach.
   Neder, Enrique, Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, and Ricardo Descalzi, Financing Fiscal Deficits. Intertemporal approach under different exchange rate regimes.
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 Keynotes & Roundtables
04-SEP-1711:00-12:30D4 0.022Key Note lecture Peter Egger, ETH Zurich, and Filip Tarlea, Comparing Apples to Apples: Estimating Consistent Partial Effects of Preferential Economic Integration Agreements
05-SEP-1714:00-16:00building LC, room LC 2.400ROUND TABLE: “NEW TRADE POLICY STRATEGIES IN THE TRUMP AREA AND AFTER BREXIT"Jörg Wojahn, Head of of the European Commission in Austria: New trade policy strategy of the EU / European Commission

Maria Donner Abreu, Counsellor RTAs Section, TPRD, World Trade Organization: New trade policy strategies of LA countries

Ralf Kronberger, ‎Head of "Financial, Fiscal and Trade Policy" - ‎Austrian Federal Economic Chamber: Trade Policy Options of the EU – different views of EU member

Sangeeta Khorana, Economics Bournemouth University: Trade Policy Options of Emerging Markets/ India

Iain Begg, European Institute, London School of Economics and Political Science: EU trade policies and Brexit: changing interests, changing options?

 16:30-18:15 ROUND TABLE: “ARE WE HEADING FOR A NEW MONETARY ORDER AND NEW MONETARY POLICY REGIME?”Helene Schuberth, Head Foreign Research Division, Austrian Central Bank A decade after the crisis – monetary policy challenges in the euro area

Dubravko Mihaljek, Head of Macroeconomic Analysis, Bank for International Settlements Monetary policy and business investment recovery

Joshua Aizenman, University of Southern California The New Monetary Order and the Generalized Mundell-Fleming Trilemma

Matías Tapia, Senior Economist Central Bank of Chile Inflation targeting and flexible exchange rates in a small open economy

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04-SEP-1710:30-11:00 - coffee break -
 12:45-13:45 lunch at "The Campus"
 16:00-16:30 coffee break -
 19:00 dinner at restaurant “L' Osteria” (own charge) -
05-SEP-1710:30-11:00 - coffee break -
 12:45-13:45 lunch at "The Campus" -
 16:00-16:30 coffee break -
 19:15 dinner at restaurant "Gasthof Zum Renner" on invitation of the Department of Economics, WU Nußdorferplatz 4 take U2 to “Schottentor”, then tramway D direction Nußdorf, stop Nußdorferplatz
06-SEP-1710:30-11:00 - coffee break -
 12:45-13:45 lunch at "The Campus" -
 16:00-16:30 coffee break -
 19:00 dinner at "Summerstage" on invitation of the Institute for International Economics, WU take U2 to Schottenring, then U4 direction Friedensbrücke, stop Roßauer Lände
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